SHREVEPORT, La., March 14, 2005 (PRIMEZONE) -- StockPickReport.Com (IARD #119079, http://www.stockpickreport.com - the web's only non-mainstream stock rating service), rates Qwest Communications International Inc., Micron Technology Inc., ADC Telecommunications Inc., Select Sector SPDR-Energy.
STOCKPICKREPORT RATINGS:
Qwest Communications International Inc. (NYSE:Q) - SELL
http://www.stockpickreport.com/abrating.php?sym=Q
Micron Technology Inc. (NYSE:MU) - WEAK SELL
http://www.stockpickreport.com/abrating.php?sym=MU
ADC Telecommunications Inc. (Nasdaq:ADCT) - BUY
http://www.stockpickreport.com/abrating.php?sym=ADCT
Select Sector SPDR-Energy (AMEX:XLE) - SELL
http://www.stockpickreport.com/abrating.php?sym=XLE
Monday, March 14, 2005 StockPickReport Commentary Climbing The Walls
I am like a "broken record" sometimes. My kids will tell you there are a few things I say often:
1. "Quit hitting your brother!" 2. "Slow down!" 3. "Get down from there!"
They don't like when I say those things. They'd rather hit, run, and climb. That's the nature of boys.
Just between you and me, I'm proud of their defiance. I like the fact that they have minds of their own. It's good for them to think for themselves.
However...
...you knew that was coming, right?
However, they should still stop the hitting, running, and climbing sometimes. I've discovered that the difference in me as a kid and me as a dad is this: Although I don't like to hit, run, or climb as much as I used to, I know WHEN it's okay to do those things.
This is my philosophy. Paul (of Biblical fame) said it this way, "All things are permissible, but not all things are beneficial." Other great men have said similar things.
The stock market is at a point now where it's not time to climb. It's not time to hit. It's not time to run. It's time to stop and think. That's hard to do. Everything moves so quickly.
Data streams. Charts update. News anchors report. Markets move. Stocks rise. Stocks fall. War grinds on. Oil pushes towards $100 a barrel against a veil held by unseen hands.
I say, "Stop."
Turn around. Face the onslaught of information. Look at what you've got. Look where you've come from. Ask, "Where did I want to go?" Did you get there?
Are you here, now?
The S&P 500 is up 50% in two years. Let me say that again. The S&P is up 50% in two years.
Now, you face a market with every possible indicator that it's time to pull some off the table. Look at these facts:
1. Second-largest trade deficit ever.
2. Oil prices skyrocketing.
3. Inflation rising.
4. Interest rates rising.
5. Stocks at multi-year highs.
6. PEs at multiyear highs.
7. Political uncertainty around the world like we haven't
seen in a generation.
8. Job outsourcing overseas at an increasing quick pace.
9. Real Estate prices beginning to slow down (in some
markets around the country, stagnate or actually drop).
10. The U.S. dollar is just at an abysmally low rate versus
major world currency.
11. Commodity prices like gold on the rise.
Hey, it's fun to run. It's great fun to climb. You could even enjoy popping your brother every now and then. Still, sometimes you gotta say enough's enough.
Here's what I want you to ask yourself: If this the best time for you to be buying stocks or is this a better time to sell?
Think objectively. Don't let CNBC, your brother-in-law, or a biased broker snooker you into an answer.
There you go...
Right. The answer is that it makes sense that now is a better time to sell than buy.
Does that mean you should be out of stocks? No way. That's means you should look at stocks that are tied to something other than the U.S. dollar. That means you should look at stocks with upside in an environment of rising-interest rates and inflation.
Is the market a good place for your money? Absolutely. But, in the right vehicle.
I don't know who said it, but whoever first said, "The more things change, the more they stay the same", was on to something. 'Cause, uh...
...thirty years after the 1970s "oil crisis", the world is doin' it all again: High oil prices, rising inflation, falling dollar -- hey, we've even got "mid east" terrorists to deal with.
Wow, deja vu.
Tomorrow night I plan to show you some ways we think you can profit in a market like the one I see coming. I also plan to show you REAL WORLD tactics to guard against a move down in stocks you just might not have the gumption to let go of.
Now, it's off to tell my kids to quit running up and down the walls.
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If the links to our ratings above do not work, please use these:
Qwest Communications International Inc. (NYSE:Q) - SELL
http://www.stockcommentary.com/Q-Stock-News.htm
Micron Technology Inc. (NYSE:MU) - WEAK SELL
http://www.stockcommentary.com/MU-Stock-News.htm
ADC Telecommunications Inc. (Nasdaq:ADCT) - BUY
http://www.stockcommentary.com/ADCT-Stock-News.htm
Select Sector SPDR-Energy (AMEX:XLE) - SELL