Toll Brothers Reports 1st Qtr 2007 Earnings Results


HORSHAM, Pa., Feb. 22, 2007 (PRIME NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) (www.tollbrothers.com), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today reported results for net income, revenues, backlog and contracts for its first quarter ended January 31, 2007.

FY 2007's first-quarter net income was $54.3 million, or $0.33 per share diluted, compared to FY 2006's first-quarter record of $163.9 million, or $0.98 per share diluted. In FY 2007, first-quarter net income was reduced by pre-tax write-downs of $96.9 million ($59.0 million, or $0.36 per share diluted, after tax), plus a pre-tax $9.0 million ($0.03 per share diluted, after tax) goodwill impairment charge related to the Company's 1999 acquisition of the Silverman Companies in metro Detroit. In FY 2006, first-quarter pre-tax write-downs totaled $1.1 million, or less than $0.01 per share diluted, after tax. FY 2007 first-quarter earnings per share, including write-downs, declined 66% versus FY 2006's first quarter. Excluding write-downs and the impairment charge, FY 2007's first-quarter earnings per share were $0.72 diluted, down 27% versus the same period in FY 2006.

FY 2007's first-quarter total revenues were $1.09 billion, a decline of 19% compared to the first-quarter record of $1.34 billion in revenues in FY 2006. FY 2007's first-quarter-end backlog was $4.15 billion, a decline of 30% compared to the first-quarter record of $5.95 billion in FY 2006.

FY 2007's first-quarter net signed contracts were $748.7 million, a decline of 34% compared to FY 2006's first-quarter total of $1.14 billion. The Company signed 1,463 contracts (before cancellations) in FY 2007's first quarter, a 14% decline from the 1,695 signed in FY 2006's first quarter. Net of cancellations, first-quarter contracts totaled 1,027 units, down 33% from 1,544 units in the first quarter of FY 2006. First-quarter FY 2007 cancellations totaled 436 units versus 585 units in fourth-quarter FY 2006; FY 2007's first-quarter cancellation rate of 29.8% was lower than the 36.9% cancellation rate in fourth-quarter 2006. However, it was still well above the Company's historical average of about 7%.

In response to current market conditions, the Company continues to reevaluate and, in some cases, renegotiate its optioned land positions. As a result of its ongoing review, the Company ended FY 2007's first quarter with approximately 67,500 lots under control compared to approximately 73,800 and 83,200 at FYE 2006 and FYE 2005, respectively. The Company's FY 2007 first-quarter-end total was down 26% from its high of approximately 91,200 lots at FY 2006's second-quarter-end.

Projecting revenues and earnings results remains very difficult in the current environment. Based on its current backlog, the impact of lessened first-quarter contracts and the continuing higher-than-normal rate of cancellations, the Company expects to deliver between 6,000 and 7,000 homes in FY 2007, compared to its previous guidance of 6,300 to 7,300 homes, and to produce total home building revenues of between $4.20 billion and $4.96 billion. It projects net income of between $240 million and $305 million, or $1.46 to $1.85 per share diluted, assuming 164.8 million shares outstanding in FY 2007. This projection assumes future write-downs of $60 million in the final three quarters of FY 2007, although the final number could be significantly higher or lower. Prior to its conference call this afternoon at 12:00 Noon (EST), the Company will file a Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission outlining its guidance assumptions in greater detail.

Robert I. Toll, chairman and chief executive officer, stated: "There are too many soft markets at this stage of the selling season to call a general upturn in the new home market. Demand varies greatly from week to week in individual markets.

"The metro New York City high-rise market offers a glimpse of what one might expect when consumer confidence rebounds. An article in Monday's New York Times described multiple bids on properties that have been on the market for less than a week. The New York City market is somewhat unique in that it did not markedly decline to the degree most other markets have in the past twelve to eighteen months. It did experience some softness in the second half of 2006 due to consumer concern about the direction of home prices, but this concern appears to have dramatically reversed itself in January of 2007. We believe that pent-up demand is building in many markets as potential buyers bide their time until they are confident prices have firmed.

"Our financial strength was recognized this quarter by all three of the credit rating agencies that monitor our industry as Fitch, Moody's and Standard and Poors' each reaffirmed its investment grade credit ratings for Toll Brothers. We ended our first quarter with $1.1 billion unused and available under our bank revolving credit facility, nearly $450 million in cash and a net debt to capital ratio of 33.4%.

"In the current challenging environment, we believe our access to reliable capital and our strong balance sheet give us an important competitive advantage. Based on our experience during past cycles, we have learned that unexpected opportunities may arise in difficult times for those who are well-prepared. We believe that our solid financial base, our broad geographic presence, our diversified product lines and our national brand name all position us well for such opportunities now and in the future."

Toll Brothers' financial highlights for the first quarter ended January 31, 2007 (unaudited):


 * FY 2007's first-quarter net income was $54.3 million, or $0.33 per
   share diluted, compared to FY 2006's first-quarter record of
   $163.9 million, or $0.98 per share diluted.  In FY 2007, first-
   quarter net income included pre-tax write-downs and a goodwill
   impairment charge totaling $105.9 million, or $0.39 per share
   diluted, after tax.  Approximately $13.9 million of the land-
   related write-downs were attributable to optioned lots and
   approximately $83.0 million to operating communities and owned
   land, while approximately $9 million was attributable to a goodwill
   impairment charge related to the Company's 1999 purchase of the
   Silverman Companies in metro Detroit.  In FY 2006, first-quarter
   pre-tax write-downs totaled $1.1 million.  FY 2007 first-quarter
   earnings per share, including write-downs, declined 66% versus FY
   2006; excluding write-downs and the impairment charge, earnings per
   share were $0.72 diluted, down 27% versus FY 2006.

 * FY 2007's first-quarter revenues of $1.09 billion decreased 19%
   from FY 2006's first-quarter revenues of $1.34 billion, the first-
   quarter record.

 * In the Company's fiscal 2007 first-quarter, unconsolidated entities
   in which the Company had an interest, had revenues of $20.6 million
   compared to $52.1 million in the same period of FY 2006.  The
   Company's share of the profits from the delivery of these homes is
   included in 'Equity Earnings from Unconsolidated Entities' on the
   Company's Income Statement.

 * The Company's FY 2007 first-quarter contracts (net of
   cancellations) of $748.7 million declined by 34% versus FY 2006's
   first-quarter contracts of $1.14 billion, the first-quarter record.
   In addition, in FY 2007's first quarter, unconsolidated entities in
   which the Company had an interest signed contracts of
   $29.2 million.

 * First-quarter FY 2007 cancellations totaled 436 versus 585 in
   fourth quarter FY 2006 and FY 2007's first-quarter cancellation
   rate of 29.8% was lower than the 36.9% cancellation rate in
   FY 2006's fourth quarter.

 * In FY 2007, first-quarter-end backlog of $4.15 billion declined
   30% versus FY 2006's first-quarter-end backlog of $5.95 billion,
   the first-quarter record.  In addition, at January 31, 2007,
   unconsolidated entities in which the Company had an interest had a
   backlog of $26.7 million.

 * The Company ended its FY 2007 first quarter with a net debt to
   capital ratio of 33.4%. Net debt to capital is defined and
   calculated as total debt minus mortgage warehouse loans minus cash
   divided by total debt minus mortgage warehouse loans minus cash divided 
   by total debt minus mortgage warehouse loans minus cash plus 
   stockholders' equity.

 * In FY 2007, based on its FY 2007 first quarter backlog, the state
   of current demand and cancellations, the Company projects to
   deliver between 6,000 and 7,000 homes at an average price of
   between $670,000 and $680,000. The Company also projects revenues
   of between $180 million and $195 million in FY 2007 from buildings
   accounted for under the percentage of completion method.

 * Prior to its 12:00 Noon (EST) conference call today, February 22,
   2007, to discuss its first-quarter results, the Company will file a
   Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission containing
   detailed guidance for expected results of operations for FY 2007,
   which will be discussed on the call.

Toll Brothers will be broadcasting live via the Investor Relations section of its website, www.tollbrothers.com, a conference call hosted by chairman and chief executive officer Robert I. Toll at 12:00 p.m. (EST) today, February 22, 2007, to discuss these results and its outlook for the remainder of FY 2007. To access the call, enter the Toll Brothers website, then click on the Investor Relations page, and select "Conference Calls." Participants are encouraged to log on at least fifteen minutes prior to the start of the presentation to register and download any necessary software. The call can be heard live with an on-line replay which will follow and continue through May 8, 2007.

Toll Brothers, Inc. is the nation's leading builder of luxury homes. The Company began business in 1967 and became a public company in 1986. Its common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "TOL". The Company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult and second-home home buyers and operates in 21 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia.

Toll Brothers builds luxury single-family detached and attached home communities, master planned luxury residential resort-style golf communities and urban low-, mid- and high-rise communities, principally on land it develops and improves. The Company operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development and land sale, golf course development and management, home security and landscape subsidiaries. The Company also operates its own lumber distribution, and house component assembly and manufacturing operations.

Toll Brothers, a FORTUNE 500 Company, is the only publicly traded national home building company to have won all three of the industry's highest honors: America's Best Builder from the National Association of Home Builders, the National Housing Quality Award, and Builder of the Year. Toll Brothers proudly supports the communities in which it builds; among other philanthropic pursuits, the Company sponsors the Toll Brothers -- Metropolitan Opera International Radio Network, bringing opera to neighborhoods throughout the world. For more information, visit tollbrothers.com.

Certain information included herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, verbal or written statements and presentations is forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to, information related to anticipated operating results, financial resources, changes in revenues, changes in profitability, changes in margins, changes in accounting treatment, interest expense, land-related write-downs, effects of home buyer cancellations, growth and expansion, anticipated income to be realized from our investments in unconsolidated entities, the ability to acquire land, the ability to gain approvals and to open new communities, the ability to sell homes and properties, the ability to deliver homes from backlog, the ability to secure materials and subcontractors, the ability to produce the liquidity and capital necessary to expand and take advantage of opportunities in the future, industry trends, and stock market valuations. Such forward-looking information involves important risks and uncertainties that could significantly affect actual results and cause them to differ materially from expectations expressed herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, statements and presentations. These risks and uncertainties include local, regional and national economic conditions, the demand for homes, domestic and international political events, uncertainties created by terrorist attacks, the effects of governmental regulation, the competitive environment in which the Company operates, fluctuations in interest rates, changes in home prices, the availability and cost of land for future growth, the availability of capital, uncertainties and fluctuations in capital and securities markets, changes in tax laws and their interpretation, legal proceedings, the availability of adequate insurance at reasonable cost, the ability of customers to finance the purchase of homes, the availability and cost of labor and materials, and weather conditions.


                  TOLL BROTHERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                  CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                        (Amounts in thousands)


                                       January 31,          October 31,
                                          2007                 2006
                                          ----                 ----
                                      (Unaudited)
 ASSETS

 Cash and cash equivalents           $   449,249          $   632,524
 Inventory                             6,182,279            6,095,702
 Property, construction and                            
  office equipment, net                   94,299               99,089
 Receivables, prepaid                                  
  expenses and other assets              144,019              160,446
 Contracts receivable                    166,887              170,111
 Mortgage loans receivable                78,345              130,326
 Customer deposits held in                             
  escrow                                  51,008               49,676
 Investments in and advances                           
  to unconsolidated entities             251,035              245,667
                                     -----------          -----------
                                     $ 7,417,121          $ 7,583,541
                                     ===========          ===========
                                                       
 LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS'                         
 EQUITY                                                
                                                       
 Liabilities:                                          
 Loans payable                       $   710,870          $   736,934
 Senior notes                          1,141,452            1,141,167
 Senior subordinated notes               350,000              350,000
 Mortgage company warehouse                            
  loan                                    65,887              119,705
 Customer deposits                       344,674              360,147
 Accounts payable                        253,353              292,171
 Accrued expenses                        759,186              825,288
 Income taxes payable                    286,128              334,500
                                     -----------          -----------
   Total liabilities                   3,911,550            4,159,912
                                     -----------          -----------
                                                       
 Minority interest                         7,763                7,703
                                                       
 Stockholders' equity:                                 
 Preferred stock                              --                   -- 
 Common stock                              1,563                1,563
 Additional paid-in capital              225,359              220,783
 Retained earnings                     3,317,590            3,263,274
 Treasury stock                          (46,704)             (69,694)
                                     -----------          -----------
   Total stockholders' equity          3,497,808            3,415,926
                                     -----------          -----------
                                     $ 7,417,121          $ 7,583,541
                                     ===========          ===========
                                                       
                                                       
                                                       
                     TOLL BROTHERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
                 CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
                (Amounts in thousands, except per share data)
                               (Unaudited)


                                            Three months ended
                                               January 31,
                                         2007                  2006
                                         ----                  ----
 Revenues:
  Traditional home sales              $1,054,136            $1,278,709
  Percentage of completion                33,085                57,569
  Land sales                               3,390                 4,678
                                      ----------            ----------
                                       1,090,611             1,340,956
                                      ----------            ----------  
 Costs of revenues:                                       
   Traditional home sales                846,403               884,091
   Percentage of completion               25,897                47,346
   Land sales                              1,037                 3,836
   Interest                               22,643                28,754
                                      ----------            ----------  
                                         895,980               964,027
                                      ----------            ----------  
                                                          
 Selling, general and                                     
  administrative                         134,210               139,178
 Goodwill impairment                       8,973                    --
                                      ----------            ----------  
 Income from operations                   51,448               237,751
 Other:                                                   
  Equity earnings from                                    
   unconsolidated entities                 6,792                16,569
  Interest and other                      28,960                11,327
                                      ----------            ----------  
 Income before income taxes               87,200               265,647
 Income taxes                             32,884               101,797
                                      ----------            ----------  
 Net income                           $   54,316            $  163,850
                                      ==========            ==========  
                                                          
 Earnings per share:                                      
  Basic                               $     0.35            $     1.06
                                      ==========            ==========
  Diluted                             $     0.33            $     0.98
                                      ==========            ==========
                                                          
 Weighted average number of                               
   shares:                                                
  Basic                                  154,212               155,076
  Diluted                                164,048               167,027
                                                          
 Additional information:                                  
  Interest incurred                   $   34,150            $   32,431
                                      ==========            ==========
  Depreciation and                                        
   amortization                       $    8,366            $    7,113
                                      ==========            ==========
  Interest expense by source                              
   of revenue                                             
    Traditional home sales            $   21,737            $   26,830
    Percentage of completion                 905                 1,417
    Land sales                                 1                   507
                                      ----------            ----------
                                      $   22,643            $   28,754
                                      ==========            ========== 
                                                 

                                UNITS                 $ (MILL)
                           ----------------     ----------------------
                             1st       1st          1st          1st
                             Qtr.      Qtr.         Qtr.         Qtr.
 HOME BUILDING REVENUES      2007      2006         2007         2006
 ----------------------    ------    ------     ---------     --------
 TRADITIONAL PRODUCT
 North                        287       417     $   191.6     $  271.6
 Mid-Atlantic                 512       589         329.1        393.6
 South                        403       470         233.1        253.7
 West                         357       403         300.3        359.8
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
      Total                 1,559     1,879     $ 1,054.1     $1,278.7
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION:                                   
 North                                          $    19.5     $   39.7
 South                                               13.5         17.9
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
      Total                    --        --     $    33.0     $   57.6
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 TOTAL                                                       
 North                        287       417     $   211.1     $  311.3
 Mid-Atlantic                 512       589         329.1        393.6
 South                        403       470         246.6        271.6
 West                         357       403         300.3        359.8
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
 Total consolidated         1,559     1,879       1,087.1      1,336.3
 Unconsolidated entities       27        99          20.6         52.1
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
                            1,586     1,978     $ 1,107.7     $1,388.4
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
                                                             
 CONTRACTS 
 ----------------------                      
 TRADITIONAL PRODUCT                                         
 North                        217       265     $   136.3     $  177.4
 Mid-Atlantic                 328       456         206.8        313.5
 South                        212       331         118.4        203.5
 West                         121       343         128.9        315.1
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
      Total                   878     1,395     $   590.4     $1,009.5
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 NON TRADITIONAL                                             
  PRODUCT - LONG TERM                                        
 North                        123       111     $   140.0     $  102.0
 Mid-Atlantic                   1        13           0.4          5.3
 West                           1         5           0.4          4.0
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
      Total                   125       129     $   140.8     $  111.3
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION                                    
 North                         24        20     $    15.3     $   14.4
 South                                                2.2          4.7
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
      Total                    24        20     $    17.5     $   19.1
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 TOTAL                                                       
 North                        364       396     $   291.6     $  293.8
 Mid-Atlantic                 329       469         207.2        318.8
 South                        212       331         120.6        208.2
 West                         122       348         129.3        319.1
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
 Total consolidated         1,027     1,544         748.7      1,139.9
 Unconsolidated entities       45        28          29.2         16.8
                           ------    ------     ---------     --------
                            1,072     1,572     $   777.9     $1,156.7
                           ======    ======     =========     ========
 



                                 UNITS                $ (MILL)
                            ----------------     ---------------------
                             1st       1st         1st          1st  
                             Qtr.      Qtr.        Qtr.         Qtr.
 BACKLOG                     2007      2006        2007         2006
 ----------------------     ------    ------     --------     --------
 TRADITIONAL PRODUCT
 North                       1,114     1,643     $  737.4     $1,126.6
 Mid-Atlantic                1,363     2,197        918.9      1,486.4
 South                       1,400     2,179        781.7      1,186.7
 West                        1,243     2,087      1,146.7      1,774.8
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
        Total                5,120     8,106     $3,584.7     $5,574.5
                            ======    ======     ========     ========
 NON TRADITIONAL PRODUCT                                    
  - LONG TERM                                               
 North                         379       127     $  383.9     $  117.6
 Mid-Atlantic                   59        43         24.0         18.3
 West                           27        12         18.6          9.5
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
        Total                  465       182     $  426.5     $  145.4
                            ======    ======     ========     ========
                                                            
 PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION                                   
 North                         288       275     $  189.4     $  181.6
 South                          76        72        116.2        102.7
  Less revenue recognized                                   
   on units remaining in                                    
   backlog                                         (166.9)       (57.6)
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
        Total                  364       347     $  138.7     $  226.7
                            ======    ======     ========     ========
 TOTAL                                                      
 North                       1,781     2,045     $1,310.7     $1,425.8
 Mid-Atlantic                1,422     2,240        942.9      1,504.7
 South                       1,476     2,251        897.9      1,289.4
 West                        1,270     2,099      1,165.3      1,784.3
  Less revenue recognized                                   
   on units remaining in                                    
   backlog                                         (166.9)       (57.6)
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
 Total consolidated          5,949     8,635      4,149.9      5,946.6
 Unconsolidated entities        43        32         26.7         20.8
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
                             5,992     8,667     $4,176.6     $5,967.4
                            ------    ------     --------     --------
                                                                
 

 Toll Brothers operates in four geographic segments:

 North:         Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, 
                Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Ohio (2006 only) 
                and Rhode Island

 Mid-Atlantic:  Delaware,  Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and 
                West Virginia

 South:         Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas

 West:          Arizona, California, Colorado and Nevada

            

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