TREB Releases September Market Figures as Reported by GTA Realtors®


TORONTO, Oct. 03, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toronto Real Estate Board President Michael Collins announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 7,825 sales through TREB’s MLS® System in September 2019. This result represented strong year-over-year sales growth of 22 per cent compared to 6,414 sales reported in September 2018. It is important to note, however, that sales remain well-below the record September 2016 peak of more than 9,800 sales.

On a preliminary seasonally adjusted basis, the September 2019 sales level remained in virtually the same as the August 2019 result.

The supply of listings continued to be a concern in September 2019, with new listings down by 1.9 per cent year-over-year to 15,611. We have experienced multiple months this year wherein the annual rate of sales growth outpaced the annual rate of new listings growth, resulting in the overall number of active listings at month-end being well-below last year’s levels. This speaks to tightening market conditions and an accelerating annual rate of price growth.

“Demand for ownership housing increased throughout the spring and summer of 2019 compared to the very slow pace of sales experienced in 2018. That being said, many first-time buyers are still experiencing difficulty finding an affordable home. Federal parties vying for seats in the October election have pledged to alleviate affordability issues hampering first-time buyers with a variety of policy proposals. While these demand-side proposals are important, it is also important that all levels of government remain focused on promoting a sustainable supply of different housing types moving forward,” said Mr. Collins.

The annual rate of price growth in September reached the highest point so far in 2019. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was up by 5.2 per cent on a year-over-year basis in September. The average selling price for all home types combined was up by a similar annual rate of 5.8 per cent to $843,115.

On a preliminary seasonally adjusted basis, the September 2019 average selling price was up by 1.2 per cent compared to August 2019.

“It is interesting to note that market conditions for detached homes have tightened over the past year. In many of the regions surrounding the City of Toronto, detached price growth was above the rate of inflation on an annual basis. Consumer polling conducted for TREB over the past few years has pointed out that many intending home buyers are still focused on ground-oriented housing. This points to the need for a greater diversity of housing types to bridge the gap between detached houses and condominium apartments,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Chief Market Analyst.

“Statistics Canada’s most recent national population estimate represented the highest twelve month population increase ever recorded. This growth was driven by immigration, of which the GTA was likely a key beneficiary due to its strong regional economy and diversity. As a result, the demand for all types of housing in the GTA – rental and ownership – will remain strong. This fact underpins the need for immediate and sustained action on housing supply,” said TREB CEO John DiMichele.

Summary of TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price September 1 - 30, 2019
 20192018
 SalesAverage PriceNew ListingsSalesAverage PriceNew Listings
City of Toronto ("416")2,995913,0965,8102,454864,8395,459
Rest of GTA ("905")4,830799,7219,8013,960754,60810,462
GTA7,825843,11515,6116,414796,78215,921


TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price By Home Type September 1 - 30, 2019
 SalesAverage Price
 416 905 Total416 905 Total
       
Detached909 2,707 3,616 1,360,623 946,256 1,050,421 
Yr./Yr. % Change37.9%26.1%28.9%1.2%4.5%4.1%
Semi-Detached283 463 746 1,069,119 689,950 833,790 
Yr./Yr. % Change12.3%16.9%15.1%7.0%4.2%5.1%
Townhouse333 965 1,298 785,890 639,945 677,387 
Yr./Yr. % Change33.2%18.3%21.8%5.7%6.5%6.8%
Condo Apartment1,450 621 2,071 636,817 497,403 595,013 
Yr./Yr. % Change13.5%22.0%15.9%3.3%9.2%4.2%


September 2019 Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change in the MLS® HPI
 Composite (All Types)Single-Family DetachedSingle-Family AttachedTownhouseApartment
TREB Total5.23%3.55%4.29%6.12%8.00%
Halton Region8.01%8.39%4.94%10.88%4.27%
Peel Region7.19%5.85%6.34%6.37%13.38%
City of Toronto5.74%2.74%4.70%2.76%7.90%
York Region0.67%0.04%0.87%-1.46%5.57%
Durham Region2.75%2.28%2.80%5.99%2.74%
Orangeville4.40%4.45%5.77%- - 
South Simcoe County1-3.30%-5.26%-1.67%- - 
1South Simcoe includes Adjala-Tosorontio, Bradford West Gwillimbury, Essa, Innisfil and New Tecumseth 


Annual Summary of TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price Year-to-Date
 20192018
 SalesAverage PriceNew ListingsSalesAverage PriceNew Listings
City of Toronto ("416")24,568874,77243,07023,028836,36741,203
Rest of GTA ("905")43,389775,83384,43637,588758,17586,014
GTA67,957811,602127,50660,616787,880127,217


Annual TREB MLS® Sales & Average Price  By Home Type Year-to-Date 2019
 SalesAverage Price
 416 905 Total416 905 Total
       
Detached7,054 24,123 31,177 1,310,730 919,113 1,007,719 
Yr./Yr. % Change15.1%18.9%18.0%-1.2%0.4%-0.3%
Semi-Detached2,239 4,195 6,434 1,036,267 685,534 807,587 
Yr./Yr. % Change13.4%14.6%14.2%4.2%4.1%4.1%
Townhouse2,576 8,789 11,365 769,394 623,227 656,357 
Yr./Yr. % Change16.3%13.7%14.3%3.8%2.8%3.1%
Condo Apartment12,538 5,613 18,151 625,802 475,827 579,424 
Yr./Yr. % Change-0.2%10.3%2.8%5.8%6.0%5.2%
Seasonally Adjusted TREB MLS® Sales and Average Price1  
      
 SalesMonth-over-Month % Chg.Average PriceMonth-over-Month % Chg. 
September '196,922-0.4%$800,687-0.5% 
October '196,793-1.9%$807,1280.8% 
November '196,698-1.4%$800,590-0.8% 
December '196,7510.8%$793,999-0.8% 
January '196,8150.9%$779,242-1.9% 
February '196,201-9.0%$764,121-1.9% 
March '196,3472.4%$761,226-0.4% 
April '197,04611.0%$773,8151.7% 
May '197,3894.9%$796,0662.9% 
June '197,4771.2%$812,6422.1% 
July '197,8394.8%$825,3971.6% 
August '197,9321.2%$827,6810.3% 
September '197,908-0.3%$837,6401.2% 
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board; CREA Seasonal Adjustment
1 Preliminary seasonal adjustment undertaken by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).  Removing normal seasonal variations allows for more meaningful analysis of monthly changes and underlying trends.
 

Media Inquiries: Mary Gallagher, Senior Manager, Public Affairs maryg@trebnet.com (416) 443-8158  

TREB is Canada’s largest real estate board. Over 54,500 residential and commercial TREB Members serve consumers in the Greater Toronto Area.  Greater Toronto REALTORS® are passionate about their work. They are governed by a strict Code of Ethics and share a state-of-the-art  Multiple Listing Service®.

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