TRREB: GTA Real Estate Market Starts the New Year the Same as it Ended Last Year

Toronto, Ontario, CANADA

TORONTO, Feb. 03, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- As we moved from 2022 into 2023, the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market unfolded as expected. The number of January sales and the overall average selling price were similar to December 2022. On a year-over-year basis, both sales and prices were down markedly, continuing to highlight the impact of higher borrowing costs on affordability over the last year.

“Home sales and selling prices appear to have found some support in recent months. This coupled with the Bank of Canada announcement that interest rate hikes are likely on hold for the foreseeable future will prompt some buyers to move off the sidelines in the coming months. Record population growth and tight labour market conditions will continue to support housing demand moving forward,” said Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) President Paul Baron.

GTA REALTORS® reported 3,100 sales through TRREB’s MLS® System in January 2023 – in line with the December 2022 result of 3,110, but down 44.6 per cent from January 2022. The average selling price for January 2023 at $1,038,668 was slightly lower than the December 2022 result and down by 16.4 per cent compared to the January 2022 average price reported before the onset of Bank of Canada interest rate hikes. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was in line with the December result, but down by 14.2 per cent compared to January 2022.

“Home prices declined over the past year as homebuyers sought to mitigate the impact of substantially higher borrowing costs. While short-term borrowing costs increased again in January, negotiated medium-term mortgage rates, like the five-year fixed rate, have actually started to trend lower compared to the end of last year. The expectation is that this trend will continue, further helping with affordability as we move through 2023,” said TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer.

“All three levels of government have announced policies to enhance housing affordability over the long term, including many initiatives focussed on increasing housing supply in the ownership and rental markets. Most recently, we were encouraged to see Toronto City Council support the Mayor’s 2023 Housing Action Plan as part of the City’s overall $2 billion commitment to housing initiatives,” said TRREB CEO John DiMichele.

TRREB will release its annual Market Outlook and Year in Review report on Friday, February 10, 2023.

Summary of TRREB MLS® System Sales and Average Price January 1–31, 2023
 SalesAverage PriceNew ListingsSalesAverage PriceNew Listings
City of Toronto ("416")1,108987,8423,0102,2351,072,1773,112
Rest of GTA ("905")1,9921,066,9384,6783,3591,355,6734,871

TRREB MLS® System Sales & Average Price by Home Type January 1–31, 2023
 SalesAverage Price
Yr./Yr. %
Yr./Yr. %
Yr./Yr. %
Yr./Yr. %

January 2023 Year-Over-Year Per Cent Change in the MLS® HPI
 Composite (All Types)Single-Family DetachedSingle-Family AttachedTownhouseApartment
TRREB Total-14.19%-16.83%-15.32%-11.51%-4.14%
Halton Region-21.94%-23.37%-23.13%-20.07%-5.07%
Peel Region-16.68%-18.89%-18.75%-10.04%-5.60%
City of Toronto-10.16%-14.41%-12.35%-6.19%-3.44%
York Region-10.20%-11.50%-9.35%-9.44%-6.30%
Durham Region-17.72%-18.24%-18.44%-14.75%-6.24%
South Simcoe County1-18.18%-18.91%-14.57%-12.36%-7.81%
 Source:Toronto Regional Real Estate Board      
1South Simcoe includes Adjala-Tosorontio, Bradford West Gwillimbury, Essa, Innisfil and New Tecumseth

Please note the methodology used to calculate MLS® HPI has been changed. For more information, click HERE.

Seasonally Adjusted TRREB MLS® Sales and Average Price1 
 SalesMonth-over-Month %
Average PriceMonth-over-Month %
January '229,155-1.3%$1,279,3005.7%
February '229,6315.2%$1,289,7480.8%
March '228,137-15.5%$1,255,669-2.6%
April '226,705-17.6%$1,205,167-4.0%
May '226,035-10.0%$1,169,785-2.9%
June '225,630-6.7%$1,135,178-3.0%
July '225,219-7.3%$1,107,771-2.4%
August '225,7279.7%$1,124,1041.5%
September '225,033-12.1%$1,095,563-2.5%
October '224,910-2.4%$1,093,996-0.1%
November '224,742-3.4%$1,096,5910.2%
December '224,718-0.5%$1,099,1250.2%
January '234,671-1.0%$1,066,668-3.0%
Source: Toronto Regional Real Estate Board; CREA Seasonal Adjustment. 1 Preliminary seasonal adjustment undertaken by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). Removing normal seasonal variations allows for more meaningful analysis of monthly changes and underlying trends.


Media Inquiries:
Genevieve Grant, Manager, Public Affairs 416-443-8159

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board is Canada’s largest real estate board with over 70,000 residential and commercial professionals connecting people, property and communities.

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