Walking to collect water, Taranty Bas, Madagascar. June 2025.

WaterAid/Ernest Randriarimalala

New WaterAid research reveals a surprising divide in how a potentially record-breaking Super El Niño could impact Africa, challenging widely used climate risk maps just ahead of COP31.Drawing on 44 years of rainfall data, researchers found that while Southern Africa faces severe drought risks and East African cities face increased flooding, coastal West African cities like Lagos could experience significant water shortages, even as parts of the typically dry Sahel become wetter.

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JPEG

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WaterAid Canada

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