THUNDER BAY, ONTARIO--(Marketwired - Dec. 9, 2013) - Housing starts in Thunder Bay, Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) were trending at 347 units in November down from 456 units in October according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) 1 of housing starts.
"A slightly below average month for construction of single-detached housing in November weakened housing starts for the month in Thunder Bay. Sixteen singles starts were just behind the 10-year average for the month coupled with no multi-family starts detailed the somewhat weaker new construction picture for November. CMHC's forecast is still on track for fewer starts levels this year compared to 2012," stated Warren Philp, CMHC's Market Analyst for Thunder Bay.
CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of the housing market. In some situations, analysing only SAAR data can be misleading in some markets, as they are largely driven by the multiples segment of the markets which can be quite variable from one month to the next.
The standalone monthly SAAR was 174 units in November, down from 210 units in October.
Preliminary Housing Starts data is also available in English and French at the following link: Preliminary Housing Starts Tables
As Canada's national housing agency, CMHC draws on more than 65 years of experience to help Canadians access a variety of quality, environmentally sustainable and affordable housing solutions. CMHC also provides reliable, impartial and up-to-date housing market reports, analysis and knowledge to support and assist consumers and the housing industry in making informed decisions.
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 All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) - that is, monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace was maintained for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.
Additional data is available upon request.
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A graph and table are available at the following link: http://media3.marketwire.com/docs/916475e.pdf.