CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Sept. 26, 2016) - Pan Orient Energy Corp. (TSX VENTURE:POE), on behalf of its 71.8% owned subsidiary Andora Energy Corporation ("Andora"), is pleased to release the June 30, 2016 Contingent Resources Report which is a National Instrument 51-101 compliant resources evaluation for Andora's oil sands interests at Sawn Lake Alberta, Canada, as evaluated by Sproule Unconventional Limited ("Sproule"). The evaluation included all of Andora's Oil Sands Leases at Sawn Lake based on exploitation using Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage ("SAGD").
The evaluation at June 30, 2016 incorporates the final results of the Sawn Lake demonstration project which produced bitumen from September 2014 to February 2016 from one SAGD wellpair. The demonstration project established the viability of the SAGD process in the Bluesky formation at Sawn Lake and provided information on productive capability and instantaneous steam-oil ratio of the reservoir.
Highlights of Sawn Lake, Alberta Contingent Resources Report as at June 30, 2016
Summary
Sawn Lake SAGD Development
Andora is focused on developing the bitumen resources at the Sawn Lake property in the Peace River Oil Sands Region using SAGD development. The first step towards determining the commercial viability of the SAGD recovery process at Sawn Lake was the demonstration project. The demonstration project has proven that the SAGD process works in the Bluesky formation at Sawn Lake, established characteristics of ramp up through stabilization of SAGD performance, indicated the productive capability, ISOR, and provided critical information required for well and facility design associated with future commercial development. The final results of the demonstration project have been used to update the reservoir model and prepare the June 30, 2016 Contingent Resources Report. Production results to date are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery and the Sawn Lake demonstration project has not yet proven that it is commercially viable.
Andora is the operator and holds a 50% working interest in the Central Block of Sawn Lake, where the demonstration project facility and wellpair are located. An application for a potential expansion at the demonstration project site to 3,200 BOPD was submitted at the end of April 2016. It is expected that a reactivation of the demonstration project facility and wellpair would be considered as part of a potential commercial expansion to 3,200 BOPD. The expansion application requests the drilling of up to seven additional SAGD wellpairs which are tied into the existing demonstration project facility. The facility would be expanded to generate the additional necessary steam, and it is anticipated that additional steam generation would include the test installation of Andora's proprietary produced water boiler. Andora believes that its produced water boiler could achieve significant benefits for Sawn Lake SAGD field development. Regulatory approval is expected to take approximately a year and a half. An expansion is dependent on regulatory approval, completion of detailed engineering and a higher commodity price environment to support project economics and financing.
Andora Sawn Lake, Alberta Interests at June 30, 2016 | |||
Gross Sections | Working Interest | ||
South Block (Andora operated) | 16 | 100 | % |
Central Block (Andora operated) | 12 | 50 | % |
North Block (Andora operated) | 9 | 100 | % |
North Block (non-operated) | 51 | 10 | % |
88 |
Summary of Contingent Bitumen Resources as of June 30, 2016 as provided by Sproule | |||
Marketable Resources - Company Gross (million barrels) | Andora | Pan Orient 71.8% | |
Risked (evaluation assigned a 15% development risk) | |||
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 178.2 | 128.0 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 196.9 | 141.4 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 231.3 | 166.1 | |
Unrisked | |||
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 209.7 | 150.5 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 231.6 | 166.3 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 272.2 | 195.4 |
Sawn Lake Oil Sands Project | |||||
Summary of Net Present Values as of June 30, 2016 | |||||
Contingent Resources as provided by Sproule | |||||
Andora 100% (Cdn$ million) | |||||
Net Present Values Before Tax (Risked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 3,693 | 1,185 | 406 | 126 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 4,895 | 1,432 | 482 | 160 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 6,613 | 1,852 | 606 | 199 | |
Net Present Values After Tax (Risked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 2,650 | 835 | 265 | 61 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 3,579 | 1,015 | 318 | 84 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 4,828 | 1,319 | 405 | 108 | |
Net Present Values Before Tax (Unrisked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 4,345 | 1,394 | 478 | 149 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 5,759 | 1,685 | 568 | 189 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 7,781 | 2,178 | 713 | 234 | |
Net Present Values After Tax (Unrisked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 3,115 | 981 | 311 | 71 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 4,210 | 1,194 | 374 | 98 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 5,680 | 1,551 | 476 | 127 |
1 | For risked resources and values, the evaluation assigned an 85% chance of development for Sawn Lake, or a 15% development risk. |
2 | Resources assessed at forecast crude oil reference prices and costs. |
3 | Bitumen production is forecast to commence in 2020. |
4 | The reference prices for heavy oil per barrel (Western Canada Select "WCS" 20.5 API in Canadian dollars) are $72.76 for 2020, $73.85 for 2021, $74.95 for 2022, $76.08 for 2023, $77.22 for 2024, $78.38 for 2025, $79.55 for 2026 and increase at 1.5% per year thereafter. |
5 | Bitumen revenue per barrel for these resources is $16.54 less than the associated WCS reference price in 2020 and the differential increases between $0.18 to $0.32 per year until 2066. |
6 | The reference prices for natural gas (AECO-C Spot price per MMBTU in Canadian dollars) are $3.92 for 2020, $3.99 for 2021, $4.06 for 2022, $4.14 for 2023, $4.21 for 2024, $4.29 for 2025, $4.36 for 2026 and increase at 1.5% per year thereafter. |
7 | Future development costs (including inflation of 0% per annum for 2016 and 2017 and 1.5% per annum thereafter) for Contingent Resources which have been deducted in calculating the before tax NPV: |
- Unrisked Low Estimate - CDN$2,204 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
- Unrisked Best Estimate - CDN$2,239 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
- Unrisked High Estimate - CDN$2,291 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
8 | The engineered values disclosed may not represent fair market value. |
9 | There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. |
Sawn Lake Oil Sands Project | |||||
Summary of Net Present Values as of June 30, 2016 | |||||
Contingent Resources as provided by Sproule | |||||
Pan Orient 71.8% Interest in Andora (Cdn$ million) | |||||
Net Present Values Before Tax (Risked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 2,651 | 851 | 292 | 91 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 3,515 | 1,029 | 346 | 115 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 4,748 | 1,329 | 435 | 143 | |
Net Present Values After Tax (Risked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 1,903 | 599 | 190 | 44 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 2,569 | 729 | 228 | 60 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 3,466 | 947 | 290 | 78 | |
Net Present Values Before Tax (Unrisked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 3,119 | 1,001 | 343 | 107 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 4,135 | 1,210 | 408 | 135 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 5,586 | 1,564 | 512 | 168 | |
Net Present Values After Tax (Unrisked) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | |
Contingent - Low Estimate "1C" | 2,236 | 704 | 223 | 51 | |
Contingent - Best Estimate "2C" | 3,023 | 858 | 268 | 71 | |
Contingent - High Estimate "3C" | 4,078 | 1,114 | 342 | 91 |
1 | For risked resources and values, the evaluation assigned an 85% chance of development for Sawn Lake, or a 15% development risk. |
2 | Resources assessed at forecast crude oil reference prices and costs. |
3 | Bitumen production is forecast to commence in 2020. |
4 | The reference prices for heavy oil per barrel (Western Canada Select "WCS" 20.5 API in Canadian dollars) are $72.76 for 2020, $73.85 for 2021, $74.95 for 2022, $76.08 for 2023, $77.22 for 2024, $78.38 for 2025, $79.55 for 2026 and increase at 1.5% per year thereafter. |
5 | Bitumen revenue per barrel for these resources is $16.54 less than the associated WCS reference price in 2020 and the differential increases between $0.18 to $0.32 per year until 2066. |
6 | The reference prices for natural gas (AECO-C Spot price per MMBTU in Canadian dollars) are $3.92 for 2020, $3.99 for 2021, $4.06 for 2022, $4.14 for 2023, $4.21 for 2024, $4.29 for 2025, $4.36 for 2026 and increase at 1.5% per year thereafter. |
7 | Future development costs (including inflation of 0% per annum for 2016 and 2017 and 1.5% per annum thereafter) for Contingent Resources which have been deducted in calculating the before tax NPV: |
- Unrisked Low Estimate - CDN$1,583 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
- Unrisked Best Estimate - CDN$1,607 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
- Unrisked High Estimate - CDN$1,645 million with the drilling of 389 gross well pairs and building facilities | |
8 | Results represent Pan Orient's 71.8% interest in Andora. |
9 | The engineered values disclosed may not represent fair market value. |
10 | There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. |
Pan Orient is a Calgary, Alberta based oil and gas exploration and production company with operations currently located onshore Thailand, Indonesia and in Western Canada.
This news release contains forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is generally identifiable by the terminology used, such as "expect", "believe", "estimate", "should", "anticipate" and "potential" or other similar wording. Forward-looking information in this news release includes, but is not limited to, references to: well drilling programs and drilling plans, estimates of potentially recoverable resources, and information on future production and project start-ups. By their very nature, the forward-looking statements contained in this news release require Pan Orient and its management to make assumptions that may not materialize or that may not be accurate. The forward-looking information contained in this news release is subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results, expectations, achievements or performance to differ materially, including without limitation: imprecision of resources estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of bitumen, obtaining and timing of regulatory approvals, changes in project schedules, operating and reservoir performance, the effects of weather and climate change, the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities, demand for oil and gas, commercial negotiations, other technical and economic factors or revisions and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Pan Orient. Although Pan Orient believes that the expectations reflected in its forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurances that the expectations of any forward-looking statements will prove to be correct.
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
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